Recent on the History of Marine Diversity.' Science 300(5622): 1133-1135.

Jacob, John, Thomas Lys, and Margaret Neale, 1999, 'Expertise in Forecasting Performance of Security Analysts.' Journal of Accounting and Economics 28: 51-82.

Jaynes, E. Т., 2003, Probability Theory: The Logic of Science. Cambridge:Cambridge University Press.

Jaynes, Julian, 1976, The Origin of Consciousness in the Breakdown of the Bicameral Mind. New York: Mariner Books.

Jenkins, Keith, 1991, Re-Thinking History. London: Routledge.

Jeong, H., B. Tombor, R. Albert, Z. N. Oltavi, and A.-L. Barabasi, 2000, 'The Large-scale Organization of Metabolic Networks.' Nature 407: 651-654.

Joung, Wendy, Beryl Hesketh, and Andrew Neal, 2006, 'Using 'War Stories' to Train for Adaptive Performance: Is It Better to Learn from Error or Success?' Applied Psychology: An International Review 55(2): 282-302.

Juslin, P., 1991, Well-calibrated General Knowledge: An Ecological Inductive Approach to Realism of Confidence. Manuscript submitted for publication. Uppsala, Sweden. 

--------, 1993, 'An Explanation of the Hard-Easy Effect in Studies of Realism of Confidence in One's General Knowledge.' European Journal of Cognitive Psychology 5:55-71.

--------, 1994, 'The Overconfidence Phenomenon as a Consequence of Informal Experimenter-guided Selection of Almanac Items.' Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 57:226-246.

Juslin, P., and H. Olsson, 1997, 'Thurstonian and Brunswikian Origins of Uncertainty in Judgment: A Sampling Model of Confidence in Sensory Discrimination.' Psychological Review 104:344-366.

Juslin, P., H. Olsson, and M. Bjorkman, 1997, 'Brunswikian and Thurstonian Origins of Bias in Probability Assessment: On the Interpretation of Stochastic Components of Judgment.' Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 10:189-209.

Juslin, P., H. Olsson, and A. Winman, 1998, 'The Calibration Issue: Theoretical Comments on Suantak, Bolger, and Ferrell.' Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 73: 3-26.

Kadane, J. В., and S. Lichtenstein, 1982, 'A Subjectivist View of Calibration.' Report No. 82-86, Eugene, Ore.: Decision Research.

Kahneman, D., 2003, 'Why People Take Risks.' In Gestire la vulnerability el'incertezza; un incontro internazionalefrastudiosi e capidi impresa. Rome: Italian Institute of Risk Studies.

Kahneman, D., E. Diener, and N. Schwarz, eds., 1999, Well-being: The Foundations of Hedonic Psychology. New York: Russell Sage Foundation.

Kahneman, D., and S. Frederick, 2002, 'Representativeness Revisited: Attribute Substitution in Intuitive Judgment.' In T. Gilovich, D. Griffin, and D. Kahneman, eds., 2002.

Kahneman, D., J. L. Knetsch, and R. H. Thaler, 1986, 'Rational Choice and the Framing of Decisions.' Journal of Business 59(4): 251-278.

Kahneman, D., and D. Lovallo, 1993, 'Timid Choices and Bold Forecasts: A Cognitive Perspective on Risk- taking.' Management Science 39:17-31.

Kahneman, D., and A. Tversky, 1972, 'Subjective Probability: A Judgment of Representativeness.' Cognitive Psychology 3: 430-454.

--------, 1973, 'On the Psychology of Prediction.' Psychological Review 80:237-251. 

--------, 1979, 'Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk.' Econometrica 46(2): 171-185.

--------, 1982, 'On the Study of Statistical Intuitions.' In D. Kahnerrian, P. Slovic, and A. Tversky, eds., Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

--------, 1996, 'On the Reality of Cognitive Illusions.' Psychological Review 103: 582-591.

--------, eds., 2000, Choices, Values, and Frames. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

--------, 1991, 'Anomalies: The Endowment Effect, Loss Aversion, and Status Quo Bias.' In D. Kahneman and A. Tversky, eds., 2000.

Kaizoji, Taisei, 2003, 'Scaling Behavior in Land Markets.' Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications 326(1-2): 256-264.

Kaizoji, Taisei, and Michiyo Kaizoji, 2004, 'Power Law for Ensembles of Stock Prices.' Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications 344(1-2), Applications of Physics in Financial Analysis 4 (APFA4) (December 1): 240-243.

Katz, J. Sylvan, 1999, 'The Self-similar Science System.' Research Policy 28(5): 501-517.

Keen, Steve, 2001, Debunking Economics: The Naked Emperor of the Social Classes. London: Pluto Press.

Kemp, C, and J. B. Tenenbaum, 2003, 'Theory-based Induction.' Proceedings of the Twenty-fifth Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, Boston, Mass.

Keren, G., 1988, 'On the Ability of Assessing Non-verdical Perceptions: Some Calibration Studies.' Acta Psychologica 67: 95-119.

--------, 1991, 'Calibration and Probability Judgments: Conceptual and Methodological Issues.' Acta Psychologica 77: 217-273.

Keynes, JohnMaynard, 1920, Treatise on Probability. London: Macmillan.

--------, 1937, 'The General Theory.' Quarterly Journal of Economics 51: 209-233.

Kidd, John В., 1970, 'The Utilization of Subjective Probabilities in Production Planning.' Acta Psychologica 34 (2/3): 338-347.

Kim, E. Han, Adair Morse, and Luigi Zingales, 2006, 'Are Elite Universities Losing Their Competitive Edge?' NBER Working Paper 12245.

Kindleberger, Charles P., 2001, Manias, Panics, and Crashes. New York: Wiley. 

King, Gary, and Langche Zeng, 2005, 'When Can History Be Our Guide? The Pitfalls of Counterfactual Inference.' Working Paper, Harvard University.

Kirkpatrick, Mark, and Lee Alan Dugatkin, 1994, 'Sexual Selection and the Evolutionary Effects of Copying Mate Choice.' Behavioral Evolutionary Sociobiology 34: 443-449.

Klayman, J., 1995, 'Varieties of Confirmation Bias.' In J. Busemeyer,R. Hastie, and D. L. Medin, eds., Decision Making from a Cognitive Perspective. The Psychology of Learning and Motivation 32: 83-136. New York: Academic Press.

Klayman, J., and Y.-W. Ha, 1987, 'Confirmation, Disconfirmation, and Information in Hypothesis Testing.' Psychological Review 94: 211-228.

Klayman, Joshua, Jack B. Soil, Claudia Gonzalez-Vallejo, and Sema Barlas, 1999, 'Overconfidence: It Depends on How, What, and Whom You Ask.' Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 79(3): 216-247.

Klebanoff, Arthur, 2002, The Agent. London: Texere.

Klein, Gary, 1998, Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions. Cambridge: The MIT Press.

Knight, Frank, 1921, 1965, Risk, Uncertainty and Profit. New York: Harper and Row.

Koehler, J. J., B. J. Gibbs, and R. M. Hogarth, 1994, 'Shattering the Illusion of Control: Multishot Versus Single-shot Gambles.' Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 7:183-191.

Koestler, Arthur, 1959, The Sleepwalkers: A History of Man's Changing Vision of the Universe. London: Penguin.

Korda, Michael, 2000, Another Life: A Memoir of Other People. New York: Random House.

Koriat, A., S. Lichtenstein, and B. Fischhoff, 1980, 'Reasons for Confidence.' Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Learning and Memory 6:107-118.

Kreps, J., and N. B. Davies, 1993, An Introduction to Behavioral Ecology, 3rd ed. Oxford: Blackwell Scientific Publications.

Kristeva, Julia, 1998, Time and Sense. New York: Columbia University Press.

Kruger, J., and D. Dunning, 1999, 'Unskilled and Unaware of It: How Difficulties in Recognizing One>s Own Incompetence Lead to Inflated Self-Assessments.' Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 77(6): 1121- 1134.

Kunda, Ziva, 1990, 'The Case for Motivated Reasoning.' Psychological Bulletin 108:480-498.

--------, 1999, Social Cognition: Making Sense of People. Cambridge: The MIT Press.

Kurz, Mordecai, 1997, 'Endogenous Uncertainty: A Unified View of Market Volatility.' Working Paper: Stanford University Press.

Kyburg, Henry E., Jr., 1983, Epistemology and Inference. Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press.