Newman, eds., 1987, 2: 69-74.

Arthur, Brian W., 1994, Increasing Returns and Path Dependence in the Economy. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.

Astebro, Thomas, 2003, 'The Return to Independent Invention: Evidence of Unrealistic Optimism, Risk Seeking or Skewness Loving?' Economic Journal 113(484): 226-239.

Ashiya, Masahiro, and Takero Doi, 2001, 'Herd Behavior of Japanese Economists.'  Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 46:343-346.

Attewell, P., 2001, 'The Winner-take-all High School: Organizational Adaptations to Educational Stratification.' Sociology of Education 74: 267-295.

Ayache, E., 2004a, 'The Back of Beyond,' Wilmott (Spring): 26-29.

-----------, 2004b, 'A Beginning, in the End,' Wilmott (Winter): 6-11.

Ayer, A. J., 1958, The Problem of Knowledge. London: Penguin Books,

-------, 1972, Probability and Evidence. New York: Columbia University Press.

-------, 1988, Voltaire. London: Faber and Faber.

Ayton, P., and A. G. R. McClelland, 1997, 'How Real Is Overconfidence?' Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 10:153-285.

Baddeley, Alan, 1997, Human Memory: Theory and Practice. London:Psychology Press.

Bak, Per, 1996, How Nature Works. New York: Copernicus.

Bak, P., and K. Chen, 1991, 'Self-organized criticality.' Scientific American 264:46-53.

Ball, Philip, 2004, Critical Mass: How One Thing Leads to Another. London: Arrow Books.

-------, 2006, 'Econophysics: Culture Crash.' Nature 441: 686-688.

Banavar, J. R., F. Colaiori, A. Flammini, A. Maritan, and A. Rinaldo, 2000, 'A Topology of the Fittest Transportation Network.' Physical Review Letters  84: 4745-4748.

Barabasi, Albert-Laszlo, 2002, Linked: The New Science of Networks.Boston: Perseus Publishing.

Barabasi, Albert-Laszlo, and Reka Albeit, 1999, 'Emergence of Scaling in Random Networks.' Science 286:509-512.

Barabasi, Albert-Laszlo, Reka Albert, and H. Jeong, 1999, 'Mean-field Theory for Scale-free Random Networks.'  Physica A 272:173-197.

Barabasi, Albert-Laszlo, and EricBonabeau, 2003, 'Scale-free Networks.' Scientific American 288(5): 50-59.

Baranski, J. V., and W. M. Petrusic, 1994, 'The Calibration and Resolution of Confidence in Perceptual Judgments.' Perception and Psychophysics 55: 412-428.

Barber, В. M., and T. Odean, 1999, 'Trading Is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors.' Working Paper.

Barbour, A. D., and G. Reinert, 2000, 'Small worlds.' Preprint cond-mat/0006001 at http://xxx.lanl.gov.

Bar-Hillel, M., and W. A. Wagenaar, 1991, 'The perception of randomness.' Advances in Applied Mathematics 12(4): 428-454.

Baron, Jonathan, 2000, Thinking and Deciding, 3rd ed. New York: Cambridge University Press.

Barron, G., and I. Erev, 2003, 'Small Feedback-based Decisions and Their Limited Correspondence to Description-based Decisions.' Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 16:215-233.

Barrow, John D., 1998, Impossibility: The Limits of Science and the Science of Limits.  London: Vintage.

Barrow, John D., and Frank J. Tipler, 1986, TheAnthropic Cosmological Principle.  Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Barrow-Green, June, 1996, Poincare and the Three Body Problem. History of Mathematics,  Vol. n, American Mathematical Society.

Barthelemy, M., and L. A. N. Amaral, 1999, 'Small-world Networks: Evidence for a Crossover Picture.' Physical Review Letters 82: 3180-3183.

Bastiat, Frederic, 1862-1864, Oeuvres completes de Frederic Bastiat,6 vols. Paris: Guillaumin.

Batchelor, R. A., 1990, 'All Forecasters Are Equal.' Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 8(1): 143- 144.

-------, 2001, 'How Useful Are the Forecasts of Intergovernmental Agencies? The IMF and OECD Versus the Consensus.' Applied Economics 33(2): 225-235.

Bates, Elisabeth, 1994, 'Modularity, Domain Specificity, and the Development of Language.' In D. C. Gajdusek, G. M. McKhann, and C. L. Bolis, eds., Evolution and Neurology of Language: Discussions in Neuroscience 10:1-2,136-149.

Bauman, A. O., R. В. Deber, and G. G. Thompson, 1991, 'Overconfidence Among Physicians and Nurses: The 'micro certainty, macro certainty' phenomenon.' Social Science and Medicine 32:167-174.

Bayer, Hans Christian, 2003, Information: The New Language of Science. London: Orion Books, Ltd.

Bechara, A., A. R. Damasio, H. Damasio, and S. W. Anderson, 1994, 'Insensitivity to Future Consequences Following Damage to Human Prefrontal Cortex.' Cognition 50:1-3, 7-15.

Becker, Lawrence C, 1998, A New Stoicism. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.

Bellamy, Edward, 1891, Cent ans apres, ou Van 2000, trad, de Panglais par Paul Rey; avec une pref. par M. Theodore Reinach. Paris: E. Dentu.

Benartzi, Shlomo, 2001. 'Excessive Extrapolation and the Allocation of 401(k) Accounts to Company Stock,' Journal of Finance 56(5): 1747-1764.

Benartzi, Shlomo, and Richard Thaler, 1995, 'Myopic Loss Aversion and the Equity Premium Puzzle.'  Quarterly Journal of Economics 110(1): 73-92.

Benassy-Quere, Agnes, 2002, 'Euro/dollar: tout le mondepeutse tromper. 'La Lettre du CEPII 215.

Benkirane, R., 2002, La complexite, vertiges etpromesses: 18 histoires de sciences. Paris: Le Pommier.

Berger, Peter L., and Thomas Luckmann, 1966, The Social Construction of Reality: A Treatise in the Sociology of Knowledge. New York: Anchor Books.

Bernard, Andre, 2002, Rotten Rejections: The Letters That Publisher Wish They'd Never Sent. London: Chrysalis Books.

Bernard, Claude, 1878, La science experimental. Paris: J.-B. Bailliere.

Bernoulli, Daniel, 1954, 'Exposition of a New Theory on the Measurement of Risk.' Econometrica 22(1): 23- 36.

Bernstein, Peter L., 1996, Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk. New York: Wiley.

Berridge, Kent C, 2003, 'Irrational Pursuits: Hyper-incentives from a Visceral Brain.' In I. Brocas and J. Carillo, eds., 2003.

Berry, M., 1978, 'Regular and Irregular Motion, in Topics in Nonlinear Mechanics,' ed. S. Jorna, American Institute of Physics Conference Proceedings No. 46,16-120.

Bevan, Edwyn, 1913, Stoics and Sceptics. Chicago: Ares Publishers, Inc. Bewes, Timothy, 2002, Reification: or The Anxiety of Late Capitalism. London: Verso.

Bewley, Ronald A., and Denzil G. Fiebig, 2002, 'On the Herding Instinct of Interest Rate Forecasters.' Empirical Economics 27(3): 403-425.

Bhalla, U. S., and R. Iyengar, 1999, 'Emergent Properties of Networks of Biological Signalling Pathways. Science 283: 381-387.

Bharat, Barot, 2004, 'How Accurate are the Swedish Forecasters on GDP-Growth, CPI-Inflation and Unemployment?, 1993-2001.'Brussefo Economic ReviewICahiers Economiques de Bruxelles 47, 2 Editions du DULBEA, Universite libre de Bruxelles, 249-278.

Bikhchandani, Sushil, David Hirshleifer, and Ivo Welch, 1992, 'A Theory of Fads, Fashion, Custom, and Cultural Change as Informational Cascades.' Journal of Political Economy 100 (5):992-1026.

Binmore, K., 1999, 'Why Experiment in Economics?' Economic Journal 109(453): 16-24.

Birnbaum, М. Н., 1983, 'Base Rates in Bayesian Inference: Signal Detection Analysis of the Cab Problem.' American Journal of Psychology 96(1): 85-94.

Bjorkman, M., 1987, 'A Note on Cue Probability Learning: What Conditioning Data Reveal About Cue Contrast.' Scandinavian Journal of Psychology 28: 226-232.

--------, 1994, 'Internal Cue Theory: Calibration and Resolution of Confidence in General Knowledge.'